It has left regular punters - who are backing and laying horses in-play based on vision feeds up to seven seconds delayed - vulnerable to those who are allegedly taking advantage of live broadcast. Value considerations are different when you look at laying horses as the profit will sometimes be less than your “stake”. 86. So if we have laid one horse in an 18 runner race, we have 17 other horses running for us. How We Can Help Your Betting; Expert Tipster ReviewsIf you do, you’re likely to be distracted from more important factors that influence the outcome of horse races. To cut a long story short you need to lay two horses at 2. wanting the horse to lose so they win and make a profit. Imagine you are wearing pants that are too tight at the waistline. Or if you put $10 on a horse paying $2. ”. This release of pressure lets your horse know that they found the correct response. Race Horse number(s) 1 3-6 2 4-7 39 4 10-11 5 2-7-14-15 6 5-8-16 The number of combinations is worked out like this: 2 x 2 x 1 x 2 x 4 x 3 or 96. 00 to 7. [email protected] on Betfair. YELLOW – Next best price to back and amount available at each price. There are a few reasons why I might lay a horse. If within the first 60 days of receipt you are not satisfied with Wake Up Lean™, you can request a refund by sending an email to the address given inside the product and we will immediately refund your entire purchase. It means. If you bet 10 Euros on Manchester United you win the amount of your stake times the odds. Get detailed information and tips for laying a favorite horse from Horse Racing Pro. 0 2/1 or less,. 91 lay bet on the horse not to win at. Opinions of the Product. 73%. Here are the rules and the logic behind one of the best Betfair horse racing systems. Mug bet in additions to offers, i. Here are the rules and the logic behind one of the best Betfair horse racing systems. I lay nearly all favourites and sometimes second favorites as well. By laying, you will effectively limit the frequency of your losses, but when they do come, they will be relatively costly. In the simplest terms, trading the racing markets just means backing and laying horses at advantageous prices in order to secure reliable and regular profits in your Betfair trading account over the long-term. Max free bet per customer £25. If you want to Lay Horses hands FREE on Betfair. " The previous. A simple, effective trading strategy that has been profitable for many traders over the years, is backing/laying a horse before the race, with a view to exiting the trade at a bigger/shorter price In Running (IR) to make a profit. It is in fact treated as 2 separate bets, therefore if you place a bet on a selection on the Sportsbook and lay the same selection on the Exchange you will need to have the necessary funds available in your balance to cover both bets independently. To activate your 50% back offer, simply deposit and have a minimum of 3 bets of £10 or more on separate events at odds of evens (2. For back to win selections we provide a performance comparison of BSP versus regular SP. Should start nursing within 2 hours. Thanks: 859 times Was thanked: 1080 time(s) in 485 post(s) Tony Peterson;62859 wrote: A bold move, Keith, and you'll have banked a tidy profit. com feed as part of an unauthorised…Theory being that the lay odds should drop for an amount of ticks profit (undecided as yet). YOU CANNOT WIN. Joined: 20/08/2010(UTC) Posts: 754. 011/100, the minimum odds available, but at least nine at 1000. 72) to win, bookmakers may let you bet on. Any matched bettor needs a calculator that works out all your qualifying and free bets, that is why Trickybet has created the only calculator you will ever need. Back/Lay instructs you to lay the horse for £566. 0) or bigger on first day. It means you’re backing a team, player, horse, or other participants to win the match or event. So for my setup all you level stakers would suggest I back at level stakes rather than lay?On the six occasions when recordings of telephone conversations on Richardson's account were listened to the caller was Rodgers, on his own admission, and they also showed he had "a thorough knowledge of backing and laying horses with Betfair" despite not having an account in his name. It is only the winnings you pay, as the backer’s original stake is returned to them. 15. In the UK, Ireland,. So, using Free Bet SNR instead of Normal, you can now put in your Back Stake, Back and Lay Odds, and Lay Commission for your free bet. "If you are convinced, come what may, that a horse should be 5/1, no more nor less, then feel free to lay it at 9/2 (5. Read our detailed article on the most profitable trading strategies and understand how to make money on Bet fair. In a way it does, because in Horse Racing, laying a horse means you are effectively backing 10 other horses! A good laying strategy can reap big rewards. 10 (1/10) for £100, you will win £100 if it loses, or lose £10 if it wins. You are betting FOR something. The liability on this bet is £10. Breaking - happens after. How An Approach To Laying Might Be Different To Backing Davidg3907 shared his thoughts on the OLBG forum about how differently a punter might look at a race if he was looking to lay a horse compared to. Log in Sections. 3. Once again my account gets wiped out after steadily winning, or just small wins and small losses for a few weeks. The betting exchange allows you to offer odds on that horse and gives other exchange users the opportunity to back the. If you are looking for a lay system for the All-Weather through the winter and the turf flat from April through to October, then this is the lay system for you. Your free bets will be credited within 24 hours of you signing up and completing the qualifying necessities. 04 on Betfair to ensure a risk-free profit, whatever the result of the race. Your liability is £260. Lay betting is an option on exchanges like Betfair where bettors can play the role of the bookmaker and back something not to happen. 86 but the bet did not get uploaded into Betfair. Tipster Proofing. A quick guide on how to use racing systems. e. Whilst Southwell and Wolverhampton leave the field strung out like washing, Lingfield's 'fairer' Polytrack has an average distance of only 17. Theory being that the lay odds should drop for an amount of ticks profit (undecided as yet). Below is a system to choose a losing horse 90% to 95% of the time. Likewise, if the horse were 2. Kissing spines can however be present in many horses without any clinical symptoms. As the name suggests, matched betting is where you match back and lay bets. 211/5 the draw. By B. There are many great features available to you once you register at Neowin, including: Richer content, access to many features that are disabled for guests like commenting on the front pageHow to calculate your lay stake for back to lay arbitrage bets. Money Back if your horse doesn't place - T&Cs;Let's say it's a football match between Chelsea and Manchester United. 5%. Lay betting (also known as lay bet matching, arb betting, double betting and matched betting), is a betting technique used by individuals to profit from free bets and incentives offered by bookmakers. I tested this today live on a very low odds horse just to see what happened, backing at 1,89 and laying at 1. Scalping. Perhaps you have layed the draw in a match at 3. As long as you have executed the staking plan correctly based on the prices available, you guarantee winning via arbing. Lay betting on horses is the strategy of betting against one or more horses winning a race via betting exchanges. I was sure that the lay odds met 1. However, the idea of this trading strategy still sounds foreign to many punters. Welcome to the Citywire Funds Insider Forums, where members share investment ideas and discuss everything to do with their money. You could back the draw at 3. This review will cover all the ideas and concepts behind laying horses in running for more profits. Find the market you want to bet on. 0 in decimal odds. Number 6. 00 – 0. The “back high lay low” principle means backing a selection at a high price and then laying it at a lower price. The Definitive Guide to Laying Horses" Updated: Nov 07, 14:17 18642 Horses Unlock the secrets of laying horses for improved betting in our comprehensive guide. No bet if one of the horses last three run. The direct vision initiative, which would give punters real-time access to back and lay horses while they are competing – known as "in the run" – is one that Racing Victoria has been workshopping. Finally, after you place both opposite bets, wait for the outcome and claim your profits from whichever bet wins. To win £10 your liability would be £24. Theory being that the lay odds should drop for an amount of ticks profit (undecided as yet). That’s where you’ve got to have an understanding of the pool of horses, is the best place to start. If you’re extra excited about signing up with Betfair to enjoy both backing and laying horses (betting on them to not win) on the Betfair Exchange chances are you’ll favor this trade-centered signal-up offer. 04 on Betfair to ensure a risk-free profit, whatever the result of the race. 30 with a £15 stake against Roma, your liability would equal £15 * (1. There are basically 2 types of bet. 10). Taking this a bit further. If you had £20 each-way on a horse at 20/1 (or 21. You could back the draw at 3. Simon continues his study into how to best price up a race, this time using a more quantitative approach. To be able to make a profit trading/backing laying needs a very high skill level, if you are a beginner get proficient in arbing first, using soft books, then start arbing sharp books v exchanges. You will then be liable to pay out their winnings if that selection loses. Select the pink box to place a lay bet. The best way to start this position is with the man laying back and the woman sitting astride him. Select the pink box to place a lay bet. DSLD (Degenerative Suspensory Ligament Desmitis) is a relatively recently recognized condition in horses in which a major supporting structure of the lower legs degenerates or deteriorates over time. Back-to-lay in-play. Daily Football Betting Tips Daily Horse Racing Betting Tips Latest Betting Offers Join Betfair!The LP28 series looks like this: 1111111111222222333344455667. This means that the winning horse costs you £10 (the backer's stake), but the other one didn't win so your lay bet won you £10 (the other backer's stake). Passing dry or mucus (slime)-covered manure. The beauty of laying is that if you think a horse is very poor value from a backing perspective then this could make it great value for laying. . Theory being that the lay odds should drop for an amount of ticks profit (undecided as yet). If it is resolving a conflict or giving way to a higher ranking horse, it. Back: Blue / Lay: Pink. At 90% to 95% you are guaranteed to profit! Go over to. Find the market you want to bet on. Claim £20 offer New Customer offer. Horse racing - whether backing or laying - is exactly the same principle. Theory being that the lay odds should drop for an amount of ticks profit (undecided as yet). 211/5 Man Utd and 3. His latest strategy is a profitable place backing system, which identifies horses offering value at 2/1 and under. Typically it would be at half the odds, so if backing at 4. Remember to use your free bets at higher odds – between 4. If the horse you lay does not win the race, you profit from the bet. For example, if a favourite is 8/11 (1. Smarkets. Strict routine and disciplined staking is the fastest way to succeed. Back to Lay or BTL as it is commonly known is my horse racing tradeof choice. 'Back-to-Lay' betting is a technique whereby the bettor will place a bet on a selection at high odds, and look to lay the same selection at a lower price on an exchange platform such as the Betfair Exchange. hi, about cash out . Clinical signs of electrolyte derangements include muscle stiffness and periodic spasms of muscle groups. But the exchange bettor must heed this important caveat every time a seemingly generous price is available: just who is at the other end of cyberspace? Let us say you consider that a horse represents unusually good. Step five – Place your bet. Money Back if your horse doesn't place - T&Cs; I teach you how I make a profit by covering every single horse in a race - even when it's the 40-strong field of the Grand National. 86 but the bet did not get uploaded into Betfair. 57. 00 and it gets matched by someone ‘backing’ him. 15. These provide platforms where bettors and layers can back and lay selections with each other. The rule of thumb here is: “When. New Betfair guides and manuals arrive on the. 00) for a return of £90 winnings + £10 stake = £100. "If you are convinced, come what may, that a horse should be 5/1, no more nor less, then feel free to lay it at 9/2 (5. Essentially 3 min before start I lay every horse roughly 35% lower odds than sp except anything over 40-1 i set the lay price at 21-1. 40 to someone else who is backing the horse to win with a £10 stake. Place a min £5 bet on the Sportsbook on odds. The heavier lays stay open better with stronger cattle. Punters offer odds to sell a bet instead of to back a bet. Backing & Laying Bets. The only log term formula is the ZoeFORMemulator. I tested this today live on a very low odds horse just to see what happened, backing at 1,89 and laying at 1. Laying Systems. 98 on Betfair, where your commission is 4. That means that the true chance of the 33-1 shot winning was 33/881=1. The trainer Phil Kirby may run his high-class chaser in a selling hurdle race to give jockey Brian Toomey every chance of a winner on his returnThis method is used to ensure that at least half of the bookmakers accepting bets on a horse have offered higher odds for the horse. 26”. 211/5 and. To. 74. 1. Free videos to help you learn how to put together a profitable betting strategy from backing, laying and trading on Betfair. Hedging is a strategy whereby you lay off a back bet to minimise risk and secure a profitable position. 40 to someone else who is backing the horse to win with a £10 stake. blogspot. I think backing is easier because 80% of the field in any given race is useless, which increases value of your chosen horse. It’s also not totally clear why charley horses often happen during sleep, but experts have some theories. 37!The second opinion is what most punters will say the most because they just do not see the point in backing a horse where the net return is less than the stake they are willing to risk. My mother, who has owned horses and is a gambler from way back, took the family to the Bunbury racecourse. Many people have tried laying horses, but 98% fail. A horse that is lying down for an excessive period of time or at least, more than usual, may be ill or suffering from physical pain or an injury. Again, some real effort and research is required and if a method appears too simple I will be very wary. If you’re more serious about signing up with Betfair to get pleasure from each backing and laying horses (betting on them not to win) on the Betfair Exchange you may favor this exchange-centered sign-up supply. As horse races typically have 8 - 10 horses running, it is nearly impossible to back each of them and form the traditional arbitrage opportunity that we are used to. £10 x (4. Betfair is an account that all punters should look to have. Theory being that the lay odds should drop for an amount of ticks profit (undecided as yet). If you aren’t familiar, scalping is a trading technique where small profits are taken quickly and consistently. The horse-racing industry has proposed that Betfair clients should be pursued through the courts if necessary to force them to make a contribution to their funding of the sport by as much as £24m. Signs of colic in your horse. A look back over the in-play stories of previous Grand Nationals tells us to focus our attentions on laying the short ones, writes Jack Houghton. While laying the same horse on the exchange, you have created a more significant margin for profit. Odds-on favourites won around 58 % of their races losing 6. 7f, 1m etc) 3) Always look for info on the horse you lay - you can use William Hill who does provide the spotlight on the horse (just like you can see in the link I gave you). Best Online Betting Exchange For Horse Racing Bet Live In-Play. Here we explain them to you and talk about why they are so. On a betting exchange, there must be a player placing a 'back' stake and another placing a 'lay' stake. Either use the . In a nutshell, the idea is you back a selection at 10. 86. In other words, you are offering odds of 3. Little or no passing of manure. However, if the horse wins, you will have to pay out the winnings to the backers. I was sure that the lay odds met 1. 55 against your ‘ Brighton & Everton ‘ multiple at Smarkets. It’s excellent for those back-to-lay opportunities and dobbing! Related: My Horse Racing Trading Setup For Betfair. It’s important to be on top of your own mindset when scalping, as hesitation can undo previous progress quickly. Just be willing to be patient and focus on laying selections that are poor value. For example if the favourite is at 3. 04 if I were backing my choices at level stakes I would have lost 5674 points but gained 915 @ 7. Bets = Number of selections provided SR% = Percentage Success Rate. A 'back' bet (backing) is where you're saying that something WILL happen. The first step is to head to your favourite betting exchange. The BHA said Hopkins placed 978 back bets on his Bet365 account between January 2013 and February 2014 and eight back bets and one lay bet on Betfair in December 2012. The BHA accepted the bets. 50 in your bankroll. 67 = 16. e. The fact that punters so often ignore barrier trials as a form tool creates huge value in backing, and laying, horses who are coming through such trials. FlatStats Racing Systems Thursday 16th November 2023. I think in the long term if you follow these rules. As an example, let’s say you want to lay a horse at 3. However, the prices available on Betfair are ‘better’ than SP. First, I might think that the horse is overpriced. 02) = $563. They are just waiting to push something a certain way so everything else follows. The 2 nd method I used to get my 1. Laying the field is betting on every horse to lose; for example, you will win eight times and lose once in a nine-horse race. If you’re extra interested by signing up with Betfair to enjoy each backing and laying horses (betting on them not to win) on the Betfair Exchange you may choose this trade-focused sign-up provide. Laying horses in running has been a profitable strategy for bettors since the past decade. If the horse wins, you earn £37. As we suspected yesterday the first race provided the winner, but at an unworkable price. Be sure to input the odds as provided by the bookmaker. Horses often have similar names. Doesnt matter about a few commissions to his broker. In practice, this entails assuming the role of a bookmaker for a single race. Its been working a treat so far. Here is a simple to follow guide on how to choose the most likely candidates and also how to organise your Back to Lay bet to gain the most profit. Further research reveals that 50% of the time, either the first or second favourite horse wins the race. If the horse loses, you win £37. Let’s assume we lay the field of a five-starter race for £50. [1] Betting exchanges offer the same opportunities to bet as a bookmaker with a few differences. Then we lay horses 2, 3, and 4 but with lesser amounts. Our FREE Staking Calculator can be of great help and can be found on the homepage to be downloaded. Subscribe Now! 4 Free Reports; The SBC Podcast; 2023 SBC Awards; Home; Betting Help. I mentioned in my previous article about what a potent weapon laying could be in our betting armoury. . I have been 'dutching' the 1st and 2nd rated horse, starting with the first race of the day, here are the rules: Set my daily target, i. Now you can back multiple horses to place. Backing - Lunging, long raining, lying over and sitting on maybe walked round a stabe sat on. The selection of one horse, or football team out of all of the opportunities on offer who will LOSE should be a straightforward exercise. 4) Know where you stand. This is done by laying the draw and then re-backing it when the favourite scores and the draw price increases. I made a lot of money laying horses in play, but the pressures got too big for me, and before I lost it all, I decided to take a step back. 50. Lay £10. £20, £50 or whatever you are comfortable with. 86 but the bet did not get uploaded into Betfair. This is because the money that you are set to lose if the horse wins is alot more than if you back it, remember we want horses to lose as we are laying them. 6213/8 Chelsea, 3. Horse racing has long been a popular sport and an exciting betting opportunity for enthusiasts around the world. Ropers without as much upper-body strength can drop down to a softer heel-rope lay, particularly in lower-numbered ropings with weaker cattle, so long as the rope still has enough body to stay open in front of the feet. Post navigation. 63 in qualifying for your £10 free bet. hi, about cash out . Why they happen at night. So, as opposed to just losing your £10 stake when backing the horse to win (and it failing to), laying a horse offering odds of 3/1 and it winning the race would lose you a total of £30 (3 * £10). 0, but that is not a hard-and-fast rule and. In this blog post, we'll take a closer look at what Betfair is, what backing, laying, and Betfair, online betting exchange, back, lay, trade, horse racing, football. 0 = £30. This improvement has arrived in time for the big meetings of the Flat racing season but we hope you will enjoy using it at all stages of the horse racing. Assuming we still fancy Derby to get a result against Bristol City, here’s how we would calculate our liability for a lay bet on Bristol City at odds of 4. Re: Backing and laying on same exchange. 86 but the bet did not get uploaded into Betfair. On the exchange you can back and lay the same selection at different prices. It allows punters to sell bets instead of the usual odds in backing a bet. These options can normally be found by clicking on a horse race and then selecting the more markets section. When it comes to laying the field then, let's imagine you ordered lay bets on 2 horses for £10 each at odds of 2. However, Racing Victoria has been forced to review its internal processes regarding the progression of ideas to proofs of concept after the trial. Step two – Find the right market. Usually, in a 10-horse race, there are about 5-6 horses offered below 11. It sounds so easy that you can ma. Long before betting exchanges like. If the horse wins, you earn £37. Doesnt matter about a few commissions to his broker. 92% ROI betting at Betfair SP from 176 tips to date. However, It is possible to make a profit by backing just one horse in every race. However, Paddy Power is still offering 9. Difficulty level: Easy. People tend to back or lay too quickly at certain points in a market. The i. 30 – 1) = £4. Leave plenty of time to place your qualifying Avoid matched betting near to the start of a race. Horses must have run last time out between 3 and 99 days. Subscribe now Free for one month . Matched betting on horse racing events guarantees a risk-free method for punters to make money without actually. 67 = 16. Odds are: 2. A matched betting calculator is a bit different to a regular odds calculator as it will help you calculate how to place lay and back bets to unlock profit from the free bets offered by bookmakers. The higher your strike rate, the more aggressive you can be. Backing & Laying Bets. I was actually joking as I know nothing about Optimism, just used the logic that if there was a punter out there who ever did the opposite of me backing and laying horses, tennis matches, etc. 11K views 10 months ago. 0 and 6. Why they happen at night. 6213/8 Chelsea, 3. In a nutshell, the idea is you back a selection at 10. T&C apply Offer valid for new Betgoodwin customers aged 18 years and over. Placing a Lay bet means you are betting on something not to happen - for example, if you lay a football team to win your bet will be settled as a winner if the team loses or if the game ends in a draw - so two outcomes are playing in your favour. a 10 point bet placed at odds of 4/1 would be a stake of 40 points as that is the amount you'd lose if the selection won the race). Flat Racing only. View contenders for the FlatStats Portfolio of Horse Racing Systems for horses running on Thursday. Laying the 2nd favourite in horse racing is an idea that has appealed to a lot of punters and laying all the 2nd favourites is close to a break even propspect. I was sure that the lay odds met 1. Unlike traditional bookmakers, Betfair allows users to both back and lay bets, as well as engage in trading. Lay the field is another laying greyhound strategy with amazing opportunities to get more money trading greyhounds. 00 stake, that means there is someone else putting $10. 0: Backer’s stake x (Odds – 1) = Liability. Since matched betting deals with math calculations, a dedicated matched betting calculator will pay off. If you’re using the platform (Betfair) you should introduce that as part of your betting routine or repertoire at the very least. The reason is m. It involves placing 3 different bets on the same horse in a race, covering the win, each way and extra place market. A Racing Victoria staff member allegedly organised to provide a group of professional punters with a direct Racing. 9%. I tested this today live on a very low odds horse just to see what happened, backing at 1,89 and laying at 1. For example, if you lay a horse in a race at odds of 3. Overall position if lose £-0. The outcomes section at the bottom of the calculator tells you that you’ll lose a maximum of £1. If you lift your horse's lip and the gums appear very pale, abnormally dark or muddy looking, or bright red, then contact the vet immediately. If the horse wins the race, then your liability is equal to the winnings for the backer. . This is the opposite of betting on a horse to win, which is called backing a horse. Whichever part of the site you use, you can expect plenty of Cheltenham promotions and betting offers. In 2005, Maria Santonix was a woman who liked to lay horses. Make laying down a real good place to be. 86. Check to see whether your horse is sweating more than usual. Secondly, a “back”-bet is practically a common sports bet where you put you stake on a certain outcome of a bet. Theory being that the lay odds should drop for an amount of ticks profit (undecided as yet). Some of the laying systems back in the day were very simplistic. #horses #horsetraining #horsesafetyBecome a member for extra videos and information! I post regularly to the various members sections and you also get to ask. In a horse racing market, the horse “Europe” at 1. 0 on both, and let's say both lay orders get matched. Of those 881 only 33 won. 86. 86 but the bet did not get uploaded into Betfair. Go to. Which trading platform do you use Tony P? I'm with HL and the costs would mount up if I were buying and selling as often as you seem to. 40 and you wish to secure an equal profit across all three outcomes; home win, away win and draw. There was that guy who won the Lottery twice but he's the only one. Lay to In Running Backing Example. PRO-LAY-SYSTEM – The Ultimate Guide To Laying Horses is backed with a 60 Day No Questions Asked Money Back Guarantee. 0 for £20 and we placed a lay bet of £40 in-running at 1. Backing and laying horses on a betting exchange is profitable because you can select the odds you prefer, giving you a greater chance of making more significant profits. 15 at odds of 2. If you would not back a horse at those odds, why lay it? Forget what you know or think you know about the horse, football team or boxer in question, backing at those odds means you have reduced your. Yesterday the bomber was backing and laying horses. He has loads of wonga. The return that the punter is aiming for will usually be a fixed percentage of a betting. The disadvantage is that when backing big priced winners, the returns are exactly the same as when picking an odds on favourite – this can be a difficult pill for some bettors to swallow. They 25, 30k lay bets just go a lit bit less noticed. In this example, I’m going to use Smarkets as. I was sure that the lay odds met 1. 0,. It involves selection horses and backing them before the racestarts and then placing a Lay bet at shorter odds to lock in profitwhether the. Essentially 3 min before start I lay every horse roughly 35% lower odds than sp except anything over 40-1 i set the lay price at 21-1. The direct vision initiative, which would give punters real-time access to back and lay horses while they are competing – known as "in the run" – is one that Racing Victoria has been workshopping. In the example of a punter believing two 9/2 shots being value. Being able to lay selections is a unique part of betting exchanges and although it may seem daunting at first, Betfair offers a user-friendly platform on which to do this, coupled with tutorial guides. Let Rich share everything he has learned over the past 26 years. Now,. This is an interesting strategy. The laying the field method is focused on losing horses. k so far ( very early days yet )but find it a lot easier laying losers than backing winners ,also i. 0 before the race in the knowledge that it’s a front-runner and likely to. The system can also provide the second top rated horse (in ANY race) using. You can also back an accumulator and lay the individual horses at the same time. For those who want to manage their returns, reduce losses, or even get better odds, the idea of going with back and lay betting makes a lot of. The selected theme will be applied site wide, with the exception of offer where only one exchange can be used. 00 on (backing) for the same result to happen at the same odds. Horse Y is a hold up performer and is racing from stall 8 in a 15 runner handicap at Newcastle over 7f. Once he is penetrating her the man can slowly sit up, so they are facing each other with their legs intertwined. In theory, if you lose 28 bets in a row, it comes to the end of the series and we reset back to the start. 86. 98 on Betfair, where your commission is 4. So, the proportion of races won by the favourite is running at a healthy 33%. Theory being that the lay odds should drop for an amount of ticks profit (undecided as yet). You are betting FOR something. It’s important to be on top of your own mindset when scalping, as hesitation can undo previous progress quickly.